Cowboys WR Dez Bryant’s regular-season receiving yards: 1,115

My reasoning: Bryant has never had a 1,000-yard season, but anything below four digits would be pounded Over. This is really a question of whether Bryant plays to his vast potential or whether he continues to mix flashes of brilliance with some inconsistency.

Panthers QB Cam Newton’s rushing TDs: 7½

My reasoning: I originally considered opening this as high as 10, but there’s much sentiment that Newton will run less this season. Also, the Panthers' backfield is loaded with quality, with ex-Charger Mike Tolbert the latest addition. I kept revising this downward until I hit this number, and I still think I’d get more Under money than Over money. My view? Newton is going to continue to be a prolific runner, and he’s going to score a bushel of TDs. Should be interesting.

Jets QB Tim Tebow’s rushing TDs: 6½

My reasoning: This was a tough number to set. Tebow is a backup, but he could play quite a bit in the red zone, and he very well could get a chance to start at some point. There isn't a lack of opinions on Mr. Tebow, making him a wonderful prop-bet subject.

Packers OLB Clay Matthews' sacks: 11

My reasoning: Matthews generated a good deal of pressure a season ago but notched just 6½ sacks. Surely he’s capable of more this season, so a single-digit number was not a consideration. I would guess Packers fans would prefer the Over with everyone else pretty well split on the matter.

POINTSPREAD PROPS