Falcons WR Roddy White -40 receiving yards vs. Falcons WR Julio Jones receiving yards

My reasoning: When I ran the numbers, I had White as a slightly bigger favorite, but I shaded the line a little toward Jones, who likely would get a good deal of public support. Were I booking this, I’d probably need White to win.

Buccaneers WR Vincent Jackson –160 receiving yards vs. Chargers TE Antonio Gates receiving yards

My reasoning: Here's a proposition that asks bettors to weigh 1) whether Jackson's production will decrease with his new club and 2) whether Gates' production will increase with Jackson gone. Jackson needs to be favored, given his production and the position he plays.

Saints TE Jimmy Graham -250 receiving yards vs. Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski receiving yards

My reasoning: Gronkowski had more receiving yards on fewer catches than Graham a season ago, but the Patriots have added WR Brandon Lloyd, and Aaron Hernandez is another outstanding target at the TE position for New England. Graham would have to be favored here.

Falcons QB Matt Ryan passing yards pick ’em vs. Cowboys QB Tony Romo passing yards

My reasoning: Twenty-one feet separated these passers in 2011, with Romo holding a 4,184-4,177 passing yards edge. Romo also held the edge in yards per completion (8.0-7.4). On balance, Romo's résumé is stronger, but does Ryan have more upside? 

Texans RB Arian Foster –130 rushing yards vs. Chargers RB Ryan Mathews rushing yards

My reasoning: Foster is a deserving favorite, but Matthews could get more work this season. It's a gamble on whether you believe Mathews is ready to join the game's elite at his position.

Texans -2½ regular-season wins vs. Colts, Jaguars or Titans regular-season wins