
It is the sort of thing that doesn’t end up on a résumé, and no one would claim it as part of his legacy, but the Cleveland Browns, by one metric, have been winners in Pat Shurmur’s two seasons on the job.
I am referring to the pointspread, a system of measurement that beats just about anything in my book.
In 27 regular-season games under Shurmur, the Browns are 14-10-3 against the spread, a 58.3 percent cover rate. This season, they are 6-4-1 against the number — a 60 percent success rate vs. the spread.
By contrast, the Browns have won just seven of these 27 games outright, leaving the money-line-inclined losers more often than not.
So what’s the secret to the Browns’ spread success?
Here’s my theory: they are better than they are given credit for, but not nearly good enough to significantly alter their perception as one of the NFL’s weakest clubs.
Look no further than their mixed record as an underdog, the role they have played most in the past two seasons. While the Browns have managed to cover the spread in 12-of-20 games as an underdog in this span, they have won just four of those games outright.
In short, the Browns under Shurmur haven’t been giant-killers — they just have been pesky.
Nor have they had any sort of sustained success in the past two seasons, with just one two-game winning streak in Shurmur’s tenure. That came in the first three weeks of Shurmur’s first season on the job, when the Browns beat feeble Indianapolis and edged Miami.
The next week, the Browns were 1½-point favorites vs. Tennessee.
The Titans romped, 31-13.
It’s one of only six times the Browns have been favored in the past two seasons. All came in 2011, when Cleveland played a weak slate to begin the season. The Browns were just 2-3-1 vs. the number in those games.