Here's a fun fact: In the last 20 divisional round games dating back to the 2007 postseason, we've seen as many underdogs as favorites move on to the divisional round. Yes, 10 favorites have fallen hard in these last five postseasons. 

Here's a little more about these 10 unfortunate faves: 

• Nine favorites were No. 1 or No. 2 seeds playing at home after a bye week. The losing favorites were the 2011 Packers, the 2010 Patriots and Falcons, the 2009 Chargers, the 2008 Titans, Panthers and Giants and the 2007 Colts and Cowboys. The 2011 Saints, the No. 3 seed in the NFC, were the only road favorite of the group; they fell at San Francisco last January. 

• Five of these teams were favored by more than a touchdown: the 2011 Packers, the '10 Patriots, the '09 Chargers, '08 Panthers and '07 Colts. What's more, the '07 Cowboys, who lost to the eventual Super Bowl-champion Giants, were favored by 7-to-7½ points in the divisional round, based on various closing lines. 

That's right — at least one favorite of more than a touchdown has lost in this round in each of the past five seasons. 

With this backdrop, here are my divisional-round picks: 

•  Baltimore (+9½) can be competitive at Denver on Saturday afternoon. The Ravens' defense did a credible job against Peyton Manning and Co. in Week 15, allowing 350 yards on 75 plays in a 34-17 loss. Seven of those points came on Chris Harris' game-changing interception return in the final moments of the first half — a potential 14-point swing. The Ravens are talented and experienced, and they are a threat to Denver if they play something close to their best. Baltimore is an attractive underdog at this price.