The Under holds quite a bit of appeal here for many reasons, but one factor closed the deal: Falcons QB Matt Ryan has struggled in his last three starts, completing just 57-of-110 passes for 672 yards for five touchdowns and seven interceptions. He has overthrown and underthrown receivers at an alarming rate.

Ryan is better than that, and I wouldn't be stunned if he's sharper on Sunday than he has been in recent weeks. But even if he's better, he still has to contend with a tough Washington secondary and pass rush. Moreover, the Redskins are allowing just 3.9 yards per rush.

We know the story about the Redskins' offense: it lacks weapons, and I don't expect much improvement in the first game after the bye. I'm expecting a slugfest.

Wilkening's pick: Under 41½

Pittsburgh (-3) at Denver

The Broncos took a step back in their Week Eight loss to Baltimore, and the Ravens' pass-rush pressure short-circuited the Denver attack. Well, as disruptive as the Ravens' defense can be, the Steelers' defense is even better, even with the prospect of a couple of starters missing the game because of injuries. The Steelers have long been adept at plugging in backups and continuing to roll on, and their depth is solid.

The Broncos might be able to keep this close for a few quarters, but the Steelers' offense is unlikely to be shut down for an entire game, and Pittsburgh should be able to pull away late to secure its fifth straight win.  

Wilkening's pick: Pittsburgh

Last week: 2-2
Season to date: 15-16-1